Even within a single NFL game, betting markets are abundant.
You’ve got everything from spreads and totals to touchdown scorers and player props at your disposal. It can be a lot to sort through.
So, which bets stand out as the Minnesota Vikings take on the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football? Let’s dig into FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL betting odds to find out.
All NFL projections via our numbers at FanDuel Research, and NFL odds references are to FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.
Best Player Prop Picks for Vikings at Cowboys on Sunday Night Football
TJ Hockenson Anytime Touchdown (+400)
T.J. Hockenson is playing through an injury, but I think that’s fully priced into the market as it stands.
Hockenson sat out practice Wednesday before being upgraded to limited on Thursday. It should at least slightly downgrade our expectations for him.
Hockenson’s role has been underwhelming-but-not-putrid this year. His target share since Jordan Addison’s return is 15.1%, which ain’t great. He also hasn’t gotten a spike in the red zone.
As a result, he’s not all that high in my projections. Still, I have his fair anytime touchdown odds at +280 thanks in large part to a plus matchup against the Cowboys. That number gives me enough wiggle room to dive in on Hockenson despite concerns around his health and recent production.
Javonte Williams Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Javonte Williams continues to have a beefy role in the Cowboys’ offense, creating value on him at this number.
For someone with Williams’ injury history and workload, the concern is that his snaps will dip as we get deeper in the season. That hasn’t happened yet, though, as he played 81.6% of the snaps in last week’s huge matchup with the Detroit Lions.
That allows us to put stock in Williams’ full-season numbers. He has gone over 69.5 rushing yards in 8 of 13 games, including in 6 of 7 where the Cowboys have either won or tied.
For this one, the Cowboys are 6.5-point favorites, meaning they’ve got good odds of snagging a lead. With the Vikings’ rush defense being largely middle of the pack, we’ve got enough things working in our favor to back an over on Williams.
JJ McCarthy Under 28.5 Pass Attempts (+106)
That aforementioned spread would work against this bet on J.J. McCarthy, but the Vikings are likely to keep this offense ground-centric for as long as they can.
In McCarthy’s seven starts, he has gone over 28.5 pass attempts just twice. Both of those were losses for the Vikings, but he went under in two losses, as well.
The Vikings’ ground game should be able to do something here, as well. Both Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason have above-average marks in Rushing Yards Over Expected and Rushing Success Rate, and the offensive line is as healthy as it has been all year. Although the Cowboys’ rush defense has been better since the Quinnen Williams trade, they’re still below average in that time in Rushing EPA per carry allowed to backs.
McCarthy took a step forward last week. The Vikings shouldn’t look to negate those gains by changing up the gameplan here until they absolutely must. That means keeping things calm and steady while leaning on Jones and Mason, leading to value in this under.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.
